Designs for Risk Evaluation and Management (DREAM)

Designs for Risk Evaluation and Management, or DREAM, is a tool that generates and optimizes monitoring programs for detecting potential leaks from geological carbon storage. DREAM analyzes outputs from full-physics simulators, geophysical models, or reduced order models and uses probabilistic and heuristic algorithms to identify the best monitoring network based on user-defined objectives and constraints.

Conceptual representation of a theoretical DREAM application to design a monitoring campaign.

Conceptual representation of a theoretical DREAM application to design a monitoring campaign.

DREAM is a tool for leakage monitoring design and optimization at geological carbon storage (GCS) sites. The National Risk Assessment Partnership’s (NRAP’s) DREAM tool was developed to assist in the design of effective and efficient GCS leakage monitoring networks (Yonkofski et al., 2016, 2019). DREAM searches the solution space for ensembles of leakage simulations to find the optimal monitoring design to minimize objectives, such as time to leak detection, cost, and percent of leaks detected. To accomplish this, DREAM uses a computationally-efficient simulated annealing approach that interactively mutates potential monitoring schemes. The tool can accept simulation output from full-physics numerical simulators, reduced-order models, or from integrated assessment models generated in NRAP-OPEN-IAM. It can account for spatial and temporal monitoring constraints, limitations in monitoring technology detection capability, and budget constraints (cost or monitoring equipment availability). Recent demonstrations of coupled application of DREAM and NRAP-Open-IAM highlights the value of effective monitoring design to build confidence in GCS containment effectiveness and to support justification for early site closure (Bacon et al., 2019).

Subsurface Simulation Files

  • DREAM uses a collection of subsurface full-physics simulations as inputs.
  • These simulations represent a range of possible (unlikely) CO2 leaks at a site.
  • Each simulation may include different types parameters, such as pressure, CO2 saturation, or calculated geophysical observations like surface gravity measurements associated to the leak.
  • A wide variety of outside methods can be used to generate these simulations, which allows DREAM to be integrated into many different industrial workflows.
Pore pressure for each leakage scenario is shown in 3D
Pore pressure for each leakage scenario is shown in 3D

CO2 Saturation for each leakage scenario is shown in 3D
CO2 Saturation for each leakage scenario is shown in 3D

Surface gravity for each leakage scenario is shown in 2D along the ground surface
Surface gravity for each leakage scenario is shown in 2D along the ground surface

Monitoring Parameters

DREAM designs an optimal monitoring plan.

DREAM - Dials 1
Number of wells, set of well drilling locations, drilling depths, and instrument depths

DREAM - Dials 2
Number of geophysical surveys, set of survey locations, sizes, and station densities

DREAM - Dials 3
Timeline for both the well drilling and geophysical surveys

DREAM - Dials 4
All three simultaneously

Results

Monitoring plan performance is evaluated in terms of the overall cost, the percentage of leaks detected, and the average time until leak detection.

DREAM Results 1
DREAM results 2